A Dynamic Taylor’s law

DOI10.1017/JPR.2021.40zbMATH Open1490.60134arXiv2010.10598OpenAlexW4283374625MaRDI QIDQ5087010FDOQ5087010

Authors: Victor H. de la Peña, Paul Doukhan, Yahia Salhi 

Publication date: 8 July 2022

Published in: Journal of Applied Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Taylor's power law (or fluctuation scaling) states that on comparable populations, the variance of each sample is approximately proportional to a power of the mean of the population. It has been shown to hold by empirical observations in a broad class of disciplines including demography, biology, economics, physics and mathematics. In particular, it has been observed in the problems involving population dynamics, market trading, thermodynamics and number theory. For this many authors consider panel data in order to obtain laws of large numbers and the possibility to fit those expressions; essentially we aim at considering ergodic behaviors without independence. Thus we restrict the study to stationary time series and we develop different Taylor exponents in this setting. From a theoretic point of view, there has been a growing interest on the study of the behavior of such a phenomenon. Most of these works focused on the so-called static Taylor related to independent samples. In this paper, we introduce a dynamic Taylor's law for dependent samples using self-normalised expressions involving Bernstein blocks. A central limit theorem (CLT) is proved under either weak dependence or strong mixing assumptions for the marginal process. The limit behavior of such a new index involves the series of covariances unlike the classic framework where the limit behavior involves the marginal variance. We also provide an asymptotic result for for a goodness-of-fit testing suited to check whether the corresponding dynamical Taylor's law holds in empirical studies. Moreover, we also obtain a consistent estimation of the Taylor's exponent.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.10598

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zbMATH Keywords

central limit theoremweak dependenceself-normalized sumsTaylor's law

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12) Central limit and other weak theorems (60F05) Stochastic processes (60G99)

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Cited In (6)

• Bias-corrected Pearson estimating functions for Taylor's power law applied to benthic macrofauna data
• Taylor's power law for the \(N\)-stars network evolution model
• Taylor's power law and reduced-rank vector generalized linear models
• Modified Greenwood statistic and its application for statistical testing
• Predictions of Taylor's power law, density dependence and pink noise from a neutrally modeled time series
• Taylor's law, via ratios, for some distributions with infinite mean

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