Control-theoretic models of environmental crime

DOI10.1137/19M1270483zbMATH Open1441.49033arXiv1906.09289OpenAlexW3035535292MaRDI QIDQ5113810FDOQ5113810

Elliot Cartee, Alexander Vladimirsky

Publication date: 17 June 2020

Published in: SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We present two models of perpetrators' decision-making in extracting resources from a protected area. It is assumed that the authorities conduct surveillance to counter the extraction activities, and that perpetrators choose their post-extraction paths to balance the time/hardship of travel against the expected losses from a possible detection. In our first model, the authorities are assumed to use ground patrols and the protected resources are confiscated as soon as the extractor is observed with them. The perpetrators' path-planning is modeled using the optimal control of randomly-terminated process. In our second model, the authorities use aerial patrols, with the apprehension of perpetrators and confiscation of resources delayed until their exit from the protected area. In this case the path-planning is based on multi-objective dynamic programming. Our efficient numerical methods are illustrated on several examples with complicated geometry and terrain of protected areas, non-uniform distribution of protected resources, and spatially non-uniform detection rates due to aerial or ground patrols.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.09289

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zbMATH Keywords

optimal controlHamilton-Jacobienvironmental crimemultiobjective path-planningrandomly terminated processes

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Multi-objective and goal programming (90C29) Environmental economics (natural resource models, harvesting, pollution, etc.) (91B76) Hamilton-Jacobi equations (35F21) Applications of optimal control and differential games (49N90) Finite difference methods for initial value and initial-boundary value problems involving PDEs (65M06)

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Cited In (5)

• Modeling Environmental Crime in Protected Areas Using the Level Set Method
• Closed-loop Nash equilibrium for a partial differential game with application to competitive personalized advertising
• Quantifying and Managing Uncertainty in Piecewise-Deterministic Markov Processes
• Modeling illegal logging in Brazil
• Optimal sizing of the sediment replenishment capacity based on robust ergodic control of subordinator-driven dynamics

Uses Software

• NBI

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