Probabilistic error estimation for non-intrusive reduced models learned from data of systems governed by linear parabolic partial differential equations
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Publication:5154000
Nonparametric tolerance and confidence regions (62G15) Monte Carlo methods (65C05) Numerical optimization and variational techniques (65K10) Error bounds for initial value and initial-boundary value problems involving PDEs (65M15) Finite element, Rayleigh-Ritz and Galerkin methods for initial value and initial-boundary value problems involving PDEs (65M60)
Abstract: This work derives a residual-based a posteriori error estimator for reduced models learned with non-intrusive model reduction from data of high-dimensional systems governed by linear parabolic partial differential equations with control inputs. It is shown that quantities that are necessary for the error estimator can be either obtained exactly as the solutions of least-squares problems in a non-intrusive way from data such as initial conditions, control inputs, and high-dimensional solution trajectories or bounded in a probabilistic sense. The computational procedure follows an offline/online decomposition. In the offline (training) phase, the high-dimensional system is judiciously solved in a black-box fashion to generate data and to set up the error estimator. In the online phase, the estimator is used to bound the error of the reduced-model predictions for new initial conditions and new control inputs without recourse to the high-dimensional system. Numerical results demonstrate the workflow of the proposed approach from data to reduced models to certified predictions.
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Cited in
(14)- Machine-learning error models for approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations
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- Learning latent space dynamics with model-form uncertainties: a stochastic reduced-order modeling approach
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