On a predator-prey system with random switching that never converges to its equilibrium

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Publication:5233765



Abstract: We study the dynamics of a predator-prey system in a random environment. The dynamics evolves according to a deterministic Lotka-Volterra system for an exponential random time after which it switches to a different deterministic Lotka-Volterra system. This switching procedure is then repeated. The resulting process is a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP). In the case when the equilibrium points of the two deterministic Lotka--Volterra systems coincide we show that almost surely the trajectory does not converge to the common deterministic equilibrium. Instead, with probability one, the densities of the prey and the predator oscillate between 0 and infty. This proves a conjecture of Takeuchi et al (J. Math. Anal. Appl 2006). The proof of the conjecture is a corollary of a result we prove about linear switched systems. Assume (Yt,It) is a PDMP that evolves according to fracdYtdt=AItYt where A0,A1 are 2imes2 matrices and It is a Markov chain on 0,1 with transition rates k0,k1>0. If the matrices A0 and A1 are not proportional and have purely imaginary eigenvalues, then there exists lambda>0 such that limtoinftyfraclog|Yt|t=lambda.




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