Large covariance estimation by thresholding principal orthogonal complements. With discussion and authors' reply

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Publication:5743151

DOI10.1111/RSSB.12016zbMATH Open1411.62138arXiv1201.0175OpenAlexW2040373108WikidataQ42559363 ScholiaQ42559363MaRDI QIDQ5743151FDOQ5743151


Authors: Yuan Liao, Martina Mincheva, Jianqing Fan Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 9 May 2019

Published in: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper deals with the estimation of a high-dimensional covariance with a conditional sparsity structure and fast-diverging eigenvalues. By assuming sparse error covariance matrix in an approximate factor model, we allow for the presence of some cross-sectional correlation even after taking out common but unobservable factors. We introduce the Principal Orthogonal complEment Thresholding (POET) method to explore such an approximate factor structure with sparsity. The POET estimator includes the sample covariance matrix, the factor-based covariance matrix (Fan, Fan, and Lv, 2008), the thresholding estimator (Bickel and Levina, 2008) and the adaptive thresholding estimator (Cai and Liu, 2011) as specific examples. We provide mathematical insights when the factor analysis is approximately the same as the principal component analysis for high-dimensional data. The rates of convergence of the sparse residual covariance matrix and the conditional sparse covariance matrix are studied under various norms. It is shown that the impact of estimating the unknown factors vanishes as the dimensionality increases. The uniform rates of convergence for the unobserved factors and their factor loadings are derived. The asymptotic results are also verified by extensive simulation studies. Finally, a real data application on portfolio allocation is presented.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.0175




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