Epidemic spreading and risk perception in multiplex networks: a self-organized percolation method

DOI10.1051/PROC/201549005zbMATH Open1409.92248OpenAlexW2963646697WikidataQ56786962 ScholiaQ56786962MaRDI QIDQ5744950FDOQ5744950

Authors Emanuele Massaro, Franco Bagnoli 

Publication date 10 February 2016

Published in ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.5348

zbMATH Keywords

multiplex networksepidemic spreadingrisk perceptionpercolation method

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory (60K35) Deterministic network models in operations research (90B10)

Abstract: In this paper we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and risk perception on multiplex networks. The basic idea is that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception of the risk of being infected, which we assume to be related to the fraction of infected neighbours, as introduced by Bagnoli et al., PRE 76:061904 (2007). We re-derive previous results using a self-organized method, that automatically gives the percolation threshold in just one simulation. We then extend the model to multiplex networks considering that people get infected by contacts in real life but often gather information from an information networks, that may be quite different from the real ones. The similarity between the real and information networks determine the possibility of stopping the infection for a sufficiently high precaution level: if the networks are too different there is no mean of avoiding the epidemics.

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Cites Work

• Community Structure in Time-Dependent, Multiscale, and Multiplex Networks

Cited In (3)

• Increased infection severity in downstream cities in infectious disease transmission and tourists surveillance analysis
• Non-systemic transmission of tick-borne diseases: a network approach
• Finding another yourself in multiplex networks

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