Particle Metropolis-Hastings using gradient and Hessian information

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Publication:5963543

DOI10.1007/S11222-014-9510-0zbMATH Open1331.62134arXiv1311.0686OpenAlexW3099693596MaRDI QIDQ5963543FDOQ5963543

Johan Dahlin, Fredrik Lindsten, Thomas B. Schön

Publication date: 22 February 2016

Published in: Statistics and Computing (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In its original formulation, PMH makes use of a marginal MCMC proposal for the parameters, typically a Gaussian random walk. However, this can lead to a poor exploration of the parameter space and an inefficient use of the generated particles. We propose a number of alternative versions of PMH that incorporate gradient and Hessian information about the posterior into the proposal. This information is more or less obtained as a byproduct of the likelihood estimation. Indeed, we show how to estimate the required information using a fixed-lag particle smoother, with a computational cost growing linearly in the number of particles. We conclude that the proposed methods can: (i) decrease the length of the burn-in phase, (ii) increase the mixing of the Markov chain at the stationary phase, and (iii) make the proposal distribution scale invariant which simplifies tuning.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.0686





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