On prices and returns in commercial prediction markets

DOI10.1080/14697688.2023.2257756MaRDI QIDQ6067804zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Karl Whelan

Publication date 14 December 2023

Published in Quantitative Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2023.2257756

zbMATH Keywords

commission feesfavorite-longshot biasprediction markets

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Financial markets (91G15)

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Cites work

• Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs
• Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk

Cited in

(6)

• Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs
• The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets
• Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets
• Naive traders and mispricing in prediction markets
• Do Markets Favor Agents able to Make Accurate Predictions?
• Betting market efficiency and prediction in binary choice models

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