A simulation comparison of tournament designs for the World Men's Handball Championships
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Abstract: The study aims to compare different designs for the World Men's Handball Championships. This event, organised in every two years, has adopted four hybrid formats consisting of knockout and round-robin stages in recent decades, including a change of design between the two recent championships in 2017 and 2019. They are evaluated under two extremal seeding policies with respect to various outcome measures through Monte-Carlo simulations. We find that the ability to give the first four positions to the strongest teams, as well as the expected quality and outcome uncertainty of the final is not necessarily a monotonic function of the number of matches played: the most frugal format is the second best with respect to these outcome measures, making it a good compromise in an unavoidable trade-off. A possible error is identified in a particular design. The relative performance of the formats is independent of the seeding rules and the competitive balance of the teams. The recent reform is demonstrated to have increased the probability of winning for the top teams. Our results have useful implications for the organisers of hybrid tournaments.
Recommendations
- How to design hybrid tournaments: lessons from the men's handball champions league
- The efficacy of tournament designs
- An improved double-elimination tournament with application to the FIFA World Cup
- An envelope approach to tournament design
- A Decison Support System For A Large, Multi-Event Tournament
- The selection efficiency of tournaments
- Generalized tournament designs
- Balanced tournament designs and related topics
- Constructing tournament designs
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Cited in
(6)- Tournament schedules and incentives in a double round‐robin tournament with four teams
- Evaluating the capacity of paired comparison methods to aggregate rankings of separate groups
- Bibliometric indices as a measure of performance and competitive balance in the knockout stage of the UEFA champions league
- Tournament design: a review from an operational research perspective
- Draw procedures for balanced 3-team group rounds in sports competitions
- Winning is not the only metric: the complexity of control manipulation in knockout tournaments for a redefined goal
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