Complete dimensional collapse in the continuum limit of a delayed SEIQR network model with separable distributed infectivity

DOI10.1007/S11071-020-05785-2zbMATH Open1517.92043arXiv2004.12405OpenAlexW3041240720WikidataQ98660015 ScholiaQ98660015MaRDI QIDQ6132350FDOQ6132350

Authors: Chandrika P. Vyasarayani, Anindya Chatterjee 

Publication date: 16 August 2023

Published in: Nonlinear Dynamics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We take up a recently proposed compartmental SEIQR model with delays, ignore loss of immunity in the context of a fast pandemic, extend the model to a network structured on infectivity, and consider the continuum limit of the same with a simple separable interaction model for the infectivities $$. Numerical simulations show that the evolving dynamics of the network is effectively captured by a single scalar function of time, regardless of the distribution of $$ in the population. The continuum limit of the network model allows a simple derivation of the simpler model, which is a single scalar delay differential equation (DDE), wherein the variation in $$ appears through an integral closely related to the moment generating function of $$. If the first few moments of $u$ exist, the governing DDE can be expanded in a series that shows a direct correspondence with the original compartmental DDE with a single $$. Even otherwise, the new scalar DDE can be solved using either numerical integration over $u$ at each time step, or with the analytical integral if available in some useful form. Our work provides a new academic example of complete dimensional collapse, ties up an underlying continuum model for a pandemic with a simpler-seeming compartmental model, and will hopefully lead to new analysis of continuum models for epidemics.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.12405

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19epidemictime delayreduced orderpandemic

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

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Cited In (2)

• A novel method for basic reproduction ratio of a diffusive size-structured population model with delay
• Complete dimensional collapse in the continuum limit of a delayed SEIQR network model with separable distributed infectivity

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