Dispersal density estimation across scales

DOI10.1214/23-AOS2290arXiv2108.05279OpenAlexW3190483674MaRDI QIDQ6136590FDOQ6136590

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Publication date: 31 August 2023

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We consider a space structured population model generated by two point clouds: a homogeneous Poisson process $M$ with intensity $noinfty$ as a model for a parent generation together with a Cox point process $N$ as offspring generation, with conditional intensity given by the convolution of $M$ with a scaled dispersal density $sigm{a}^{-1}f(cdot/sigma)$. Based on a realisation of $M$ and $N$, we study the nonparametric estimation of $f$ and the estimation of the physical scale parameter $sigma>0$ simultaneously for all regimes $sigma=sigm{a}_n$. We establish that the optimal rates of convergence do not depend monotonously on the scale and we construct minimax estimators accordingly whether $sigma$ is known or considered as a nuisance, in which case we can estimate it and achieve asymptotic minimaxity by plug-in. The statistical reconstruction exhibits a competition between a direct and a deconvolution problem. Our study reveals in particular the existence of a least favourable intermediate inference scale, a phenomenon that seems to be new.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.05279

zbMATH Keywords

deconvolutionpoint processesdispersal modelsnonparametric estimation and minimax theorystatistical inference across scales

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Density estimation (62G07) Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Random measures (60G57)

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Cited In (3)

• Initial distribution spread: a density forecasting approach
• Dispersal density estimation across scales
• Smoluchowski processes and nonparametric estimation of functionals of particle displacement distributions from count data

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