Poisson point process models solve the ``pseudo-absence problem for presence-only data in ecology
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Publication:614153
DOI10.1214/10-AOAS331zbMATH Open1202.62171arXiv1011.3319WikidataQ57239187 ScholiaQ57239187MaRDI QIDQ614153FDOQ614153
Authors: David I. Warton, Leah C. Shepherd 
Publication date: 27 December 2010
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Presence-only data, point locations where a species has been recorded as being present, are often used in modeling the distribution of a species as a function of a set of explanatory variables---whether to map species occurrence, to understand its association with the environment, or to predict its response to environmental change. Currently, ecologists most commonly analyze presence-only data by adding randomly chosen "pseudo-absences" to the data such that it can be analyzed using logistic regression, an approach which has weaknesses in model specification, in interpretation, and in implementation. To address these issues, we propose Poisson point process modeling of the intensity of presences. We also derive a link between the proposed approach and logistic regression---specifically, we show that as the number of pseudo-absences increases (in a regular or uniform random arrangement), logistic regression slope parameters and their standard errors converge to those of the corresponding Poisson point process model. We discuss the practical implications of these results. In particular, point process modeling offers a framework for choice of the number and location of pseudo-absences, both of which are currently chosen by ad hoc and sometimes ineffective methods in ecology, a point which we illustrate by example.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1011.3319
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Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Generalized linear models (logistic models) (62J12) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)
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Cited In (27)
- Continuous-time discrete-space models for animal movement
- Equivalence of MAXENT and Poisson point process models for species distribution modeling in ecology
- Fast, Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Log-Gaussian Cox Processes
- Correction note: Poisson point process models solve the ``pseudo-absence problem for presence-only data in ecology
- Presence‐Only Data and the EM Algorithm
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- Modelling imperfect presence data obtained by citizen science
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- Hierarchical animal movement models for population‐level inference
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