Parametric estimation for the standard and geometric telegraph process observed at discrete times

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Publication:623490

DOI10.1007/S11203-007-9017-9zbMATH Open1204.60088arXivmath/0607633OpenAlexW3124839258MaRDI QIDQ623490FDOQ623490


Authors: Alessandro De Gregorio, Stefano M. Iacus Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 5 February 2011

Published in: Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The telegraph process X(t), t>0, (Goldstein, 1951) and the geometric telegraph process S(t)=s0exp(mufrac12sigma2)t+sigmaX(t) with mu a known constant and sigma>0 a parameter are supposed to be observed at n+1 equidistant time points ti=iDeltan,i=0,1,...,n. For both models lambda, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. In the geometric case, also sigma>0 has to be estimated. We propose different estimators of the parameters and we investigate their performance under the high frequency asymptotics, i.e. Deltano0, nDelta=T<infty as noinfty, with T>0 fixed. The process X(t) in non markovian, non stationary and not ergodic thus we use approximation arguments to derive estimators. Given the complexity of the equations involved only estimators on the first model can be studied analytically. Therefore, we run an extensive Monte Carlo analysis to study the performance of the proposed estimators also for small sample size n.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0607633




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