Bayesian phase I/II adaptively randomized oncology trials with combined drugs

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Publication:641145

DOI10.1214/10-AOAS433zbMATH Open1232.62155arXiv1108.1614WikidataQ41545724 ScholiaQ41545724MaRDI QIDQ641145FDOQ641145


Authors: Ying Yuan, Guosheng Yin Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 21 October 2011

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding in phase I. After identifying a set of admissible doses, we immediately move the entire set forward to phase II. We propose a novel adaptive randomization scheme to favor assigning patients to more efficacious dose-combination arms. Our adaptive randomization scheme takes into account both the point estimate and variability of efficacy. By using a moving reference to compare the relative efficacy among treatment arms, our method achieves a high resolution to distinguish different arms. We also consider groupwise adaptive randomization when efficacy is late-onset. We conduct extensive simulation studies to examine the operating characteristics of the proposed design, and illustrate our method using a phase I/II melanoma clinical trial.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1108.1614




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