Dynamics of vaccination in a time-delayed epidemic model with awareness

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Publication:680438

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2017.09.007zbMATH Open1382.92231arXiv1710.04701OpenAlexW2757181995WikidataQ41992520 ScholiaQ41992520MaRDI QIDQ680438FDOQ680438


Authors: G. O. Agaba, Y. N. Kyrychko, K. B. Blyuss Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 23 January 2018

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of vaccination on the dynamics of infectious disease, which is spreading in a population concurrently with awareness. The model considers contributions to the overall awareness from a global information campaign, direct contacts between unaware and aware individuals, and reported cases of infection. It is assumed that there is some time delay between individuals becoming aware and modifying their behaviour. Vaccination is administered to newborns, as well as to aware individuals, and it is further assumed that vaccine-induced immunity may wane with time. Feasibility and stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria are studied analytically, and conditions for the Hopf bifurcation of the endemic steady state are found in terms of system parameters and the time delay. Analytical results are supported by numerical continuation of the Hopf bifurcation and numerical simulations of the model to illustrate different types of dynamical behaviour.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.04701




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