An epidemic model highlighting humane social awareness and vector-host lifespan ratio variation

DOI10.1016/J.CNSNS.2020.105389MaRDI QIDQ2208191zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Karunia Putra Wijaya, Joseph Páez Chávez, Dipo Aldila

Publication date 23 October 2020

Published in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.12316

zbMATH Keywords

critical manifoldmedia-triggered social awarenessperiodic systemslow-fast systemvector-borne disease

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C25) Social learning (91D15) Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: Many vector-borne disease epidemic models neglect the fact that in modern human civilization, social awareness as well as self-defence system are overwhelming against advanced propagation of the disease. News are becoming more effortlessly accessible through social media and mobile apps, while apparatuses for disease prevention are inclined to be more abundant and affordable. Here we study a simple host-vector model in which media-triggered social awareness and seasonality in vector breeding are taken into account. There appears a certain threshold indicating the alarming outbreak; the number of infective human individuals above which shall actuate the self-defence system for the susceptible subpopulation. A model where the infection rate revolves in the likelihood of poverty, reluctancy, tiresomeness, perceiving the disease as being easily curable, absence of medical access, and overwhelming hungrier vectors is proposed. Further discoveries are made from undertaking disparate time scales between human and vector population dynamics. The resulting slow-fast system discloses notable dynamics in which solution trajectories confine to the slow manifold and critical manifold, before finally ending up at equilibria. How coinciding the slow manifold with the critical manifold enhances periodic forcing is also studied. The finding on hysteresis loops gives insights of how defining alarming outbreak critically perturbs the basic reproductive number, which later helps keep the incidence cycle on small magnitudes.

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Cited in

(5)

• Optimal control on COVID-19 eradication program in Indonesia under the effect of community awareness
• Transport of ellipsoidal microplastic particles in a 3D lid-driven cavity under size and aspect ratio variation
• Food sharing and time budgeting in predator-prey interaction
• An age-dependent model for dengue transmission: analysis and comparison to field data
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Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• COCO
• TC-HAT

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