Bayesian estimation of the offspring mean in branching processes: application to infectious disease data

DOI10.1016/J.CAMWA.2012.01.049MaRDI QIDQ692242zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Angel G. Angelov, Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

Publication date 4 December 2012

Published in Computers & Mathematics with Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.camwa.2012.01.049

zbMATH Keywords

Metropolis-Hastings algorithmreproduction numberBienaymé-Galton-Watson branching process

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models (62M05) Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of branching processes (60J85)

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5610755 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3555176 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2117879 (Why is no real title available?)
• A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods
• A distribution analogous to the Borel-Tanner
• Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination
• Decision—theoretic estimation of the offspring mean in mortal branching processes
• Estimating vaccine efficacy from small outbreaks
• Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R
• Limit theorems for age-dependent branching processes with emigration
• ON ASSESSING THE POTENTIAL SEVERITY OF AN OUTBREAK OF A RARE INFECTIOUS DISEASE: A BAYESIAN APPROACH
• On parametric estimation for mortal branching processes
• Strong approximations for epidemic models
• The Bayesian Choice
• The Borel-Tanner distribution
• The concept of R_o in epidemic theory
• The distribution of time to extinction in subcritical branching processes: applications to outbreaks of infectious disease
• The effect of preferential mixing on the growth of an epidemic
• The threshold behaviour of epidemic models

Cited in

(10)

• Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination
• Stochastic monotonicity and continuity properties of functions defined on Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes, with application to vaccination in epidemic modelling
• Bayesian reconstruction of transmission trees from genetic sequences and uncertain infection times
• Time to extinction in branching processes and its application in epidemiology.
• Parameter estimation for the fractional fractal diffusion model based on its numerical solution
• Multi-type branching processes modeling of nosocomial epidemics
• The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
• Robust estimation in controlled branching processes: Bayesian estimators via disparities
• Second order longitudinal dynamic models with covariates: estimation and forecasting
• An accurate approximation for the expected site frequency spectrum in a Galton-Watson process under an infinite sites mutation model

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• R
• CODA

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