Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails

From MaRDI portal
Publication:737965

DOI10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.04.001zbMath1441.62669OpenAlexW2166572063MaRDI QIDQ737965

D. Kharzeev

Publication date: 12 August 2016

Published in: Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.04.001




Related Items (21)

A Bayesian semiparametric model for volatility with a leverage effectModeling multivariate cybersecurity risksAdaptive Metropolis-Hastings sampling using reversible dependent mixture proposalsRisk forecasting in (T)GARCH models with uncorrelated dependent innovationsA new time-varying model for forecasting long-memory seriesProperization: constructing proper scoring rules via Bayes actsEvaluating Forecasts for High-Impact Events Using Transformed Kernel ScoresPartially censored posterior for robust and efficient risk evaluationProper Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts with Asymmetric Loss FunctionsUsing proxies to improve forecast evaluationBayesian semiparametric multivariate GARCH modelingA robust statistical approach to select adequate error distributions for financial returnsConditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilitiesAlternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densitiesComparing the accuracy of multivariate density forecasts in selected regions of the copula supportForecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluationExceedance probability score: a novel measure for comparing probabilistic predictionsWhy scoring functions cannot assess tail propertiesMeasurability of functionals and of ideal point forecastsVisualizing Predicted and Observed Densities Jointly with BeanplotGeneralised density forecast combinations


Uses Software


Cites Work


This page was built for publication: Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails