Modelling the climate and weather of a 2D Lagrangian-averaged Euler-Boussinesq equation with transport noise

DOI10.1007/S10955-019-02443-9zbMATH Open1446.35117arXiv1909.00388OpenAlexW2998854961WikidataQ126320606 ScholiaQ126320606MaRDI QIDQ781806FDOQ781806

Authors: Diego Alonso-Orán, Aythami Bethencourt de León, D. D. Holm, So Takao 

Publication date: 20 July 2020

Published in: Journal of Statistical Physics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The prediction of climate change and its impact on extreme weather events is one of the great societal and intellectual challenges of our time. The first part of the problem is to make the distinction between weather and climate. The second part is to understand the dynamics of the fluctuations of the physical variables. The third part is to predict how the variances of the fluctuations are affected by statistical correlations in their fluctuating dynamics. This paper investigates a framework called LA SALT which can meet all three parts of the challenge for the problem of climate change. As a tractable example of this framework, we consider the Euler--Boussinesq (EB) equations for an incompressible stratified fluid flowing under gravity in a vertical plane with no other external forcing. All three parts of the problem are solved for this case. In fact, for this problem, the framework also delivers global well-posedness of the dynamics of the physical variables and closed dynamical equations for the moments of their fluctuations. Thus, in a well-posed mathematical setting, the framework developed in this paper shows that the mean field dynamics combines with an intricate array of correlations in the fluctuation dynamics to drive the evolution of the mean statistics. The results of the framework for 2D EB model analysis define its climate, as well as climate change, weather dynamics, and change of weather statistics, all in the context of a model system of SPDEs with unique global strong solutions.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.00388

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zbMATH Keywords

fluctuationsmean fieldLagrangian averagingEuler-Boussinesq fluid equationsstochastic transport noise

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) Strong solutions to PDEs (35D35) Quasilinear parabolic equations (35K59) PDEs in connection with fluid mechanics (35Q35) Uniqueness problems for PDEs: global uniqueness, local uniqueness, non-uniqueness (35A02) Dependence of solutions to PDEs on initial and/or boundary data and/or on parameters of PDEs (35B30) PDEs with randomness, stochastic partial differential equations (35R60) Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.) (60H30) Statistical solutions of Navier-Stokes and related equations (76D06) Flow control and optimization for incompressible viscous fluids (76D55) Flow control and optimization for incompressible inviscid fluids (76B75)

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Cited In (11)

• Deterministic and stochastic Euler-Boussinesq convection
• Existence and uniqueness of maximal solutions to SPDEs with applications to viscous fluid equations
• Stochastic effects of waves on currents in the ocean mixed layer
• Euler-Lagrangian approach to stochastic Euler equations in Sobolev spaces
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• A local-in-time theory for singular SDEs with applications to fluid models with transport noise
• Introduction to the special issue on the statistical mechanics of climate
• Lagrangian averaged stochastic advection by Lie transport for fluids

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