Multiple stable recurrent outbreaks and predictability in seasonally forced nonlinear epidemic models
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Publication:802490
DOI10.1007/BF00276232zbMATH Open0558.92013OpenAlexW2037538587WikidataQ52680071 ScholiaQ52680071MaRDI QIDQ802490FDOQ802490
Publication date: 1985
Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00276232
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measlespredictabilityBasins of attractionbistable behaviorforced nonlinear differential equationsperiodic outbreaksseasonally forced nonlinear SEIR epidemic model
Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Nonlinear ordinary differential equations and systems (34A34) Topological structure of integral curves, singular points, limit cycles of ordinary differential equations (34C05)
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- Oscillatory phenomena in a model of infectious diseases
- Estimating Regions of Existence of Unstable Periodic Orbits Using Computer-Based Techniques
Cited In (38)
- Chaotic dynamics in the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
- The effects of seasonal forcing on invertebrate-disease interactions with immune priming
- Dynamical complexity in age-structured models of the transmission of the measles virus: Epidemiological implications at high levels of vaccine uptake
- Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors
- Estimating variability in models for recurrent epidemics: assessing the use of moment closure techniques
- Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models
- Bifurcation phenomena appearing in the Lotka-Volterra competition equations: A numerical study
- The SIRC model and influenza A
- Chaos analysis and control for a class of SIR epidemic model with seasonal fluctuation
- Seasonality in epidemic models: a literature review
- Dynamics of infectious diseases and pulse vaccination: Teasing apart the embedded resonance effects
- Small amplitude, long period outbreaks in seasonally driven epidemics
- Multiple attractors in the response to a vaccination program
- Resonance of the epidemic threshold in a periodic environment
- Analysis of periodic solutions in an eco-epidemiological model with saturation incidence and latency delay
- DYNAMICS OF A DELAYED EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL WITH NONLINEAR INCIDENCE: THE ROLE OF INFECTED INCIDENCE FRACTION
- External forcing of ecological and epidemiological systems: a resonance approach
- The evolution of host defence to parasitism in fluctuating environments.
- Indications of nonlinearity, intraindividual specificity and stability of human EEG: The unfolding dimension
- Disrupting seasonality to control disease outbreaks: the case of koi herpes virus
- Seasonality and outbreaks of West Nile virus infection
- QUASIPERIODIC SOLUTIONS AND CHAOS IN A PERIODICALLY FORCED PREDATOR–PREY MODEL WITH AGE STRUCTURE FOR PREDATOR
- Periodic orbits of a seasonal SIS epidemic model with migration
- Stochastic amplification in an epidemic model with seasonal forcing
- A manifold independent approach to understanding transport in stochastic dynamical systems
- One-dimensional measles dynamics
- How local interactions impact the dynamics of an epidemic
- PID control of a chaotic system: An application to an epidemiological model
- Chaos analysis and explicit series solutions to the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
- Chaos in eco-epidemiological problem of the Salton Sea and its possible control
- Bifurcation analysis of periodic SEIR and SIR epidemic models
- The effect of cross-immunity and seasonal forcing in a multi-strain epidemic model
- The basic reproduction number in epidemic models with periodic demographics
- MULTIPLE RECURRENT OUTBREAK CYCLES IN AN AUTONOMOUS EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL DUE TO MULTIPLE LIMIT CYCLE BIFURCATION
- Seasonal dynamics in an SIR epidemic system
- Dynamics of a diffusive vaccination model with therapeutic impact and non-linear incidence in epidemiology
- Existence of multiple periodic solutions for an SIR model with seasonality
- The influence of immune cross-reaction on phase structure in resonant solutions of a multi-strain seasonal SIR model
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