Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors

DOI10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00187-1zbMATH Open1076.92511OpenAlexW2156589521WikidataQ56937267 ScholiaQ56937267MaRDI QIDQ6205964FDOQ6205964

Authors: Matt J. Keeling, Pejman Rohani, Bryan T. Grenfell 

Publication date: 19 December 2000

Published in: Physica D (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-2789(00)00187-1

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zbMATH Keywords

nonlinar spiral sink switchingseasonal contact rate variations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Dynamical systems in biology (37N25)

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Cited In (84)

• Multistability and chaos in SEIRS epidemic model with a periodic time-dependent transmission rate
• The effect of demographic and environmental variability on disease outbreak for a dengue model with a seasonally varying vector population
• Threshold conditions for a discrete nonautonomous SIRS model
• SIR model with local and global infective contacts: a deterministic approach and applications
• Regular biennial cycles in epidemics caused by parametric resonance
• Global exponential stability of positive periodic solutions for an epidemic model with saturated treatment
• Uniform boundedness of the attractor in \(H^2\) of a non-autonomous epidemiological system
• Pulse vaccination in a SIR model: global dynamics, bifurcations and seasonality
• Strange attractors in a dynamical system inspired by a seasonally forced SIR model
• A geometric analysis of the SIR, SIRS and SIRWS epidemiological models
• Global stability of switched HIV/AIDS models with drug treatment involving Caputo-fractional derivatives
• A stochastic inventory model of COVID-19 and robust, real-time identification of carriers at large and infection rate via asymptotic laws
• The role of geographical spreaders in infectious pattern formation and front propagation speeds
• Controlling Infectious Diseases: The Decisive Phase Effect on a Seasonal Vaccination Strategy
• Impact of periodic vaccination in SEIRS seasonal model
• Complex dynamics in one-dimensional nonlinear Schrödinger equations with stepwise potential
• Mathematical modelling of banana black Sigatoka disease with delay and seasonality
• Modelling the effect of a booster vaccination on disease epidemology
• Asymptotic behaviour of the nonautonomous SIR equations with diffusion
• Sequential Bayesian inference in hidden Markov stochastic kinetic models with application to detection and response to seasonal epidemics
• The effect of seasonal host birth rates on population dynamics: the importance of resonance
• Chaotic dynamics in the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Structured models of infectious disease: inference with discrete data
• Numerical study of a diffusive epidemic model of influenza with variable transmission coefficient
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• Estimating variability in models for recurrent epidemics: assessing the use of moment closure techniques
• Periodic solution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with seasonal variation
• Numerical modelling of an SIR epidemic model with diffusion
• An example of chaotic dynamics in 3D systems via stretching along paths
• The SIRC model and influenza A
• The effect of vaccinations in an immigrant model
• Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission
• Attack rates of seasonal epidemics
• Infectious disease models with time-varying parameters and general nonlinear incidence rate
• Complementarity between term-time forcing and delayed vaccination response in explaining irregular dynamics in childhood diseases
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• The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography
• A comparison of methods for calculating the basic reproductive number for periodic epidemic systems
• SIS models with switching and pulse control
• SWITCHING VACCINATION SCHEMES FOR VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES WITH SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS
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• Periodic solutions of nonautonomous differential systems modeling obesity population
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• Extracting the time-dependent transmission rate from infection data via solution of an inverse ODE problem
• Seasonal forcing in stochastic epidemiology models
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• Disrupting seasonality to control disease outbreaks: the case of koi herpes virus
• A deterministic model for highly contagious diseases: the case of varicella
• Global exponential stability of positive periodic solutions for a cholera model with saturated treatment
• Determinants of periodicity in seasonally driven epidemics
• Periodic orbits of a seasonal SIS epidemic model with migration
• Chaos in collective health: fractal dynamics of social learning
• Periodic behavior in a FIV model with seasonality as well as environment fluctuations
• \(H^2\)-boundedness of the pullback attractor for the non-autonomous SIR equations with diffusion
• The dynamical consequences of seasonal forcing, immune boosting and demographic change in a model of disease transmission
• Stochastic amplification in an epidemic model with seasonal forcing
• The effect of seasonal host birth rates on disease persistence
• Phase control of resonant systems: interference, chaos and high periodicity
• Nontrivial periodic solution of a stochastic epidemic model with seasonal variation
• Interpreting time-series analyses for continuous-time biological models -- measles as a case study
• The schedule effect: can recurrent peak infections be reduced without vaccines, quarantines or school closings?
• The dynamics of vector-borne relapsing diseases
• Chaos analysis and explicit series solutions to the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
• Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors
• Infection, reinfection, and vaccination under suboptimal immune protection: epidemiological perspectives
• The effect of cross-immunity and seasonal forcing in a multi-strain epidemic model
• Horseshoes in 3D equations with applications to Lotka-Volterra systems
• Stochastic stability of stochastic switched epidemic models with constant and impulsive control schemes
• Complex dynamical behaviour in an epidemic model with control
• Stability and bifurcation analysis in a discrete SIR epidemic model
• Globalexponential stability of an epidemic model with saturated and periodic incidence rate
• On the pullback attractor for the non-autonomous SIR equations with diffusion
• Periodicity in an epidemic model with a generalized non-linear incidence
• Analysis of economic burden of seasonal influenza: an actuarial based conceptual model
• Statistical physics of vaccination
• Effects of seasonal variation patterns on recurrent outbreaks in epidemic models

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