Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors

DOI10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00187-1MaRDI QIDQ6205964zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Matt J. Keeling, Pejman Rohani, Bryan T. Grenfell

Publication date 19 December 2000

Published in Physica D (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-2789(00)00187-1

zbMATH Keywords

nonlinar spiral sink switchingseasonal contact rate variations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Dynamical systems in biology (37N25) Epidemiology (92D30)

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Cited in

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• The effect of cross-immunity and seasonal forcing in a multi-strain epidemic model
• External forcing of ecological and epidemiological systems: a resonance approach
• A deterministic model for highly contagious diseases: the case of varicella
• Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission
• SIS models with switching and pulse control
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• Chaos in collective health: fractal dynamics of social learning
• Disrupting seasonality to control disease outbreaks: the case of koi herpes virus
• Chaotic dynamics in the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
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• Stochastic amplification in an epidemic model with seasonal forcing
• The dynamics of vector-borne relapsing diseases
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• Random fluctuations around a stable limit cycle in a stochastic system with parametric forcing
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• Effects of seasonal variation patterns on recurrent outbreaks in epidemic models
• Regular biennial cycles in epidemics caused by parametric resonance
• The role of geographical spreaders in infectious pattern formation and front propagation speeds
• Strange attractors in a dynamical system inspired by a seasonally forced SIR model
• A stochastic inventory model of COVID-19 and robust, real-time identification of carriers at large and infection rate via asymptotic laws
• Interpreting time-series analyses for continuous-time biological models -- measles as a case study
• The effect of seasonal host birth rates on population dynamics: the importance of resonance
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• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 444737 (Why is no real title available?)
• Global exponential stability of an epidemic model with saturated and periodic incidence rate
• Periodic solution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with seasonal variation
• Extracting the time-dependent transmission rate from infection data via solution of an inverse ODE problem
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3987112 (Why is no real title available?)
• Attack rates of seasonal epidemics
• Infectious disease models with time-varying parameters and general nonlinear incidence rate
• Switching vaccination schemes for vector-borne diseases with seasonal fluctuations
• Periodic orbits of a seasonal SIS epidemic model with migration
• \(H^2\)-boundedness of the pullback attractor for the non-autonomous SIR equations with diffusion
• The dynamical consequences of seasonal forcing, immune boosting and demographic change in a model of disease transmission
• Global exponential stability of positive periodic solutions for a cholera model with saturated treatment
• Horseshoes in 3D equations with applications to Lotka-Volterra systems
• Controlling infectious diseases: the decisive phase effect on a seasonal vaccination strategy
• Stochastic stability of stochastic switched epidemic models with constant and impulsive control schemes
• Complex dynamical behaviour in an epidemic model with control
• On the pullback attractor for the non-autonomous SIR equations with diffusion
• Statistical physics of vaccination
• Threshold conditions for a discrete nonautonomous SIRS model
• Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors
• Periodic solutions of nonautonomous differential systems modeling obesity population
• Pulse and constant control schemes for epidemic models with seasonality
• Numerical study of a diffusive epidemic model of influenza with variable transmission coefficient
• Impact of periodic vaccination in SEIRS seasonal model
• Multistability and chaos in SEIRS epidemic model with a periodic time-dependent transmission rate
• Pulse vaccination in a SIR model: global dynamics, bifurcations and seasonality
• Analysis of economic burden of seasonal influenza: an actuarial based conceptual model
• Autonomous and non-autonomous dynamics of an SIRS model with convex incidence rate
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• Numerical modelling of an SIR epidemic model with diffusion

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