Influenza drift and epidemic size: the race between generating and escaping immunity

DOI10.1016/J.TPB.2003.10.002MaRDI QIDQ851358zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Maciej F. Boni, Julia R. Gog, Viggo Andreasen, Freddy Bugge Christiansen

Publication date 20 November 2006

Published in Theoretical Population Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2003.10.002

zbMATH Keywords

Annual epidemicsAntigenic driftCross-immunityEvolutionary epidemiologyHerd immunityInfluenzaOrdinary differential equationsPathogen invasion

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical epidemiology (92C60) Epidemiology (92D30)

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Cites work

• A status-based approach to multiple strain dynamics
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• The dynamics of cocirculating influenza strains conferring partial cross-immunity
• The onset of oscillatory dynamics in models of multiple disease strains

Cited in

(25)

• Dynamics of annual influenza A epidemics with immuno-selection
• Evolution and persistence of influenza A and other diseases.
• Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics
• Coexistence conditions for strains of influenza with immune cross-reaction
• High dimensional random walks can appear low dimensional: application to influenza H3N2 evolution
• Host contact structure is important for the recurrence of influenza A
• Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves
• Traveling waves in a model of influenza A drift
• Pease (1987): the evolutionary epidemiology of influenza A
• Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions
• Localized contacts between hosts reduce pathogen diversity
• The SIRC model and influenza A
• The impact of past epidemics on future disease dynamics
• The final size of an epidemic and its relation to the basic reproduction number
• A mathematical modeling study: assessing impact of mismatch between influenza vaccine strains and circulating strains in Hajj
• A deterministic model for influenza infection with multiple strains and antigenic drift
• ICIAM/GAMM 95 Applied Analysis
• How immune dynamics shape multi-season epidemics: a continuous-discrete model in one dimensional antigenic space
• The importance of vaccinated individuals to population-level evolution of pathogens
• Riding the waves from epidemic to endemic: viral mutations, immunological change and policy responses
• Final-size solutions for SIRI models with vaccination
• Shaping the phylogenetic tree of influenza by cross-immunity
• On the role of cross-immunity and vaccines on the survival of less fit flu-strains
• The coexistence or replacement of two subtypes of influenza
• Capturing the dynamics of pathogens with many strains

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