Population counts along elliptical habitat contours: hierarchical modeling using Poisson-lognormal mixtures with nonstationary spatial structure
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Publication:902912
DOI10.1214/15-AOAS838zbMATH Open1454.62396arXiv1505.04319OpenAlexW2964009495MaRDI QIDQ902912FDOQ902912
Authors: M. Rodríguez, Estelina S. Capistrano, Alexandra M. Schmidt 
Publication date: 4 January 2016
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Ecologists often interpret variation in the spatial distribution of populations in terms of responses to environmental features, but disentangling the effects of individual variables can be difficult if latent effects and spatial and temporal correlations are not accounted for properly. Here, we use hierarchical models based on a Poisson log-normal mixture to understand the spatial variation in relative abundance (counts per standardized unit of effort) of yellow perch, Perca flavescens, the most abundant fish species in Lake Saint Pierre, Quebec, Canada. The mixture incorporates spatially varying environmental covariates that represent local habitat characteristics, and random temporal and spatial effects that capture the effects of unobserved ecological processes. The sampling design covers the margins but not the central region of the lake. We fit spatial generalized linear mixed models based on three different prior covariance structures for the local latent effects: a single Gaussian process (GP) over the lake, a GP over a circle, and independent GP for each shore. The models allow for independence, isotropy, or nonstationary spatial effects. Nonstationarity is dealt with using two different approaches, geometric anisotropy, and the inclusion of covariates in the correlation structure of the latent spatial process. The proposed approaches for specification of spatial domain and choice of Gaussian process priors may prove useful in other applications that involve spatial correlation along an irregular contour or in discontinous spatial domains.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.04319
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Bayesian inferencespatial confoundingGaussian processgeometric anisotropycovariate-in-correlation functionlake shorelinesPerca flavescens
Bayesian inference (62F15) Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Geostatistics (86A32)
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