Probabilities of conditionals - revisited

DOI10.1007/BF00262944MaRDI QIDQ911579zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Alan Hájek

Publication date 1989

Published in Journal of Philosophical Logic (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00262944

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesconditional probabilityprobability of a conditionalStalnaker hypothesis

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Philosophical and critical aspects of logic and foundations (03A05) Other nonclassical logic (03B60) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01)

Review text

This is a neat, crisp demonstration of this theorem: If K is a finite set with cardinality greater than two, F is a field of subsets of K, and P a probability function on F, then there is no binary connective \(\to\) on F such that for all A, C in F, if \(P(A)>0\), then \(P(A\to C)=P(C/A)\). This is a clear and important strengthening of David Lewis' triviality results concerning the hypothesis (often called the Stalnaker hypothesis) that the probability of a conditional should be the conditional probability of the components.

Recommendations

• Conditionals, probability, and non-triviality
• Capturing the relationship between conditionals and conditional probability with a trivalent semantics
• Conditionals, comparative probability, and triviality: The conditional of conditional probability cannot be represented in the object language
• Lewis' triviality for quasi probabilities
• Conditionals and conditional probabilities without triviality

Cited in

(31)

• More triviality
• Upper and lower conditional probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping
• Subjunctive conditional probability
• Remarks on a theorem of McGee
• Conditionals, probability, and non-triviality
• A puzzle about Stalnaker's hypothesis
• Triviality pursuit
• Lewis' triviality for quasi probabilities
• The fall of ``Adams' thesis?
• Conditionals and conditional probabilities without triviality
• A unified Bayesian decision theory
• Two viewpoints of conditional probability
• Introduction to conditional hyperprobabilities
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4017984 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3864170 (Why is no real title available?)
• What Are Conditional Probabilities Conditional Upon?
• Capturing the relationship between conditionals and conditional probability with a trivalent semantics
• Asymptotic Conditional Probabilities: The Unary Case
• Asymptotic conditional probabilities: The non-unary case
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 897219 (Why is no real title available?)
• A syntactical analysis of Lewis's triviality result
• A tacit assumption behind Lewis triviality that is not applicable to product space conditional event algebra
• A minimal probability space for conditionals
• Revisiting the Conditional Construal of Conditional Probability
• Dutch book against Lewis
• ‘A Formula Which I Derived Many Years Ago’ Boole, Reichenbach and Popper on Probability and Conditionals
• Williamson on indicatives and suppositional heuristics
• Hyperintensionality and overfitting
• An inductive construction of a model for probabilities of complex conditionals
• Vagueness, conditionals and probability
• Adams conditionals and non-monotonic probabilities

This page was built for publication: Probabilities of conditionals - revisited

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q911579)