Biological invasions: Deriving the regions at risk from partial measurements
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Abstract: We consider the problem of forecasting the regions at higher risk for newly introduced invasive species. Favourable and unfavourable regions may indeed not be known a priori, especially for exotic species whose hosts in native range and newly-colonised areas can be different. Assuming that the species is modelled by a logistic-like reaction-diffusion equation, we prove that the spatial arrangement of the favourable and unfavourable regions can theoretically be determined using only partial measurements of the population density: 1) a local "spatio-temporal" measurement, during a short time period and, 2) a "spatial" measurement in the whole region susceptible to colonisation. We then present a stochastic algorithm which is proved analytically, and then on several numerical examples, to be effective in deriving these regions.
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Cited in
(18)- Lipschitz stability for the growth rate coefficients in a nonlinear Fisher-KPP equation
- Stability estimate in an inverse problem for non-autonomous magnetic Schrödinger equations
- Inverse problem for a parabolic equation with periodic and nonsmooth coefficients
- Lyapunov coefficients for degenerate Hopf bifurcations and an application in a model of competing populations
- Modeling dispersal risk of invasive alien plant species
- Determination of the insolation function in the nonlinear Sellers climate model
- Spatial distribution of invasive species: an extent of occurrence approach
- An inverse problem involving two coefficients in a nonlinear reaction-diffusion equation
- Simultaneous determination of the drift and diffusion coefficients in stochastic differential equations
- When seeing is not believing: comparative study of various spatial distributions of invasive species
- An inverse problem for the heat equation in an unbounded guide
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- Unintended biological invasions: Does risk vary by trading partner?
- Simultaneous determination of two coefficients in Itô diffusion processes: theoretical and numerical approaches
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