Biological invasions: Deriving the regions at risk from partial measurements
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Publication:954067
DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2008.07.004zbMATH Open1147.92043arXiv0907.0991OpenAlexW2963651005WikidataQ40060584 ScholiaQ40060584MaRDI QIDQ954067FDOQ954067
Authors: Michel Cristofol, Lionel Roques 
Publication date: 7 November 2008
Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We consider the problem of forecasting the regions at higher risk for newly introduced invasive species. Favourable and unfavourable regions may indeed not be known a priori, especially for exotic species whose hosts in native range and newly-colonised areas can be different. Assuming that the species is modelled by a logistic-like reaction-diffusion equation, we prove that the spatial arrangement of the favourable and unfavourable regions can theoretically be determined using only partial measurements of the population density: 1) a local "spatio-temporal" measurement, during a short time period and, 2) a "spatial" measurement in the whole region susceptible to colonisation. We then present a stochastic algorithm which is proved analytically, and then on several numerical examples, to be effective in deriving these regions.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.0991
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Probabilistic models, generic numerical methods in probability and statistics (65C20) Ecology (92D40) Reaction-diffusion equations (35K57) Inverse problems for PDEs (35R30)
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Cited In (14)
- Lipschitz stability for the growth rate coefficients in a nonlinear Fisher-KPP equation
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- Inverse problem for a parabolic equation with periodic and nonsmooth coefficients
- Lyapunov coefficients for degenerate Hopf bifurcations and an application in a model of competing populations
- Determination of the insolation function in the nonlinear Sellers climate model
- Simultaneous Determination of Two Coefficients in Itô Diffusion Processes: Theoretical and Numerical Approaches
- An inverse problem involving two coefficients in a nonlinear reaction-diffusion equation
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