Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach

DOI10.1007/S11401-009-0108-3MaRDI QIDQ964798zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Jianbo Gao, Jing Hu, Wen-wen Tung

Publication date 21 April 2010

Published in Chinese Annals of Mathematics. Series B (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s11401-009-0108-3

zbMATH Keywords

dynamical systemensemble techniqueentropyKolmogorov entropyLyapunov vectors, forecast modelsscale-dependent Lyapunov exponentShannon entropy

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Dynamical systems methods for problems in mechanics (70G60) Stochastic systems in control theory (general) (93E03) Information theory (general) (94A15)

Review text

In order to uncover connections between different information theoretic approaches and between dynamical and statistical approaches, a general theoretical framework to quantity information flow in ensemble forecasting of dynamical system using the concept of (\(\epsilon,\tau\))-entropy, scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent, and developed a pseudo-ensemble approach, is proposed. This pseudo-ensemble technique appears to be applicable under rather general conditions, one important situation being that observational data are available but the exact dynamical model is unknown.

Recommendations

• Statistical predictability in the atmosphere and other dynamical systems
• Quantifying predictability through information theory: small sample estimation in a non-Gaussian framework
• An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
• Quantifying Uncertainty for Non-Gaussian Ensembles in Complex Systems
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1568848

Cites work

• A mathematical framework for quantifying predictability through relative entropy
• Chaos in Dynamical Systems
• Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow
• Embedology
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5298306 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3810550 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 107482 (Why is no real title available?)
• Information decay and the predictability of turbulent flows
• INTEGRATION OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS ON A COMPUTER
• Quantifying predictability in a model with statistical features of the atmosphere
• QUANTIFYING PREDICTABILITY IN A SIMPLE MODEL WITH COMPLEX FEATURES
• Quantifying predictability through information theory: small sample estimation in a non-Gaussian framework

Cited in

(6)

• Entropy measures for biological signal analyses
• An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
• A mathematical framework for quantifying predictability through relative entropy
• Information entropy as a basic building block of complexity theory
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1568848 (Why is no real title available?)
• Information theory and dynamical system predictability

This page was built for publication: Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q964798)