Stylized facts from a threshold-based heterogeneous agent model

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Publication:978829

DOI10.1140/EPJB/E2007-00108-5zbMATH Open1189.91061arXivphysics/0607290OpenAlexW2159859228MaRDI QIDQ978829FDOQ978829


Authors: T. Seaman, Rod Cross, M. Grinfeld, Harbir Lamba Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 25 June 2010

Published in: The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour suggested by the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). By introducing different propensities into a baseline model that displays EMH behaviour, one can attempt to isolate their effects upon the market dynamics. The simulation results indicate that the introduction of a herding propensity results in excess kurtosis and power-law decay consistent with those observed in actual return distributions, but not in significant long-term volatility correlations. Possible alternatives for introducing such long-term volatility correlations are then identified and discussed.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0607290




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