Asymptotic behavior of the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution for large mutation rate

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Abstract: The large deviation principle is established for the Poisson--Dirichlet distribution when the parameter heta approaches infinity. The result is then used to study the asymptotic behavior of the homozygosity and the Poisson--Dirichlet distribution with selection. A phase transition occurs depending on the growth rate of the selection intensity. If the selection intensity grows sublinearly in heta, then the large deviation rate function is the same as the neutral model; if the selection intensity grows at a linear or greater rate in heta, then the large deviation rate function includes an additional term coming from selection. The application of these results to the heterozygote advantage model provides an alternate proof of one of Gillespie's conjectures in [Theoret. Popul. Biol. 55 145--156].


In the context of population genetics, Kingman's Poisson-Dirichlet distribution describes the equilibrium proportions of different alleles in the infinitely many neutral alleles model. The main result of the paper is a large deviations principle for this distribution when the mutation rate approaches infinity. In particular, at the exponential scale, the differences between different allele proportions are still significant. The large deviations principle detects selection that grows at a linear or greater rate.











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