Recursive mean adjustment for unit root tests

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This paper deals with the model \(y_{t}-\mu=\rho(y_{t-1}-\mu)+u_{t}\), where \(y_{t},\;t=1,2,\ldots,n\), are observations, \(u_{t}\) is a stationary zero mean process, and \(\rho, \mu\) are unknown parameters. The main goal of the paper is to improve the power of tests for the unit root hypothesis \(H_0:\rho=1\). For constructing unit root tests the authors propose to use the recursively adjusted observations \(y_{t}-\bar y_{t}\), where \(\bar y_{t}=t^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^{t}y_{i}\). The cases when \(u_{t}=e_{t}\), where \(e_{t}\) are i.i.d. errors having zero mean and finite variance; \(u_{t}=\sum_{i=1}^{p-1}\theta_{i}z_{t-i}+e_{t}\), where \(z_{t}=y_{t}-y_{t-1}, e_{t}\) are i.i.d. errors and \((\theta_1,\ldots,\theta_{p-1})\) is a vector of unknown coefficients; and \(u_{t}\) are errors of strong mixing; are considered. The Monte Carlo experiments show power improvements of recursively mean-adjusted tests over the tests based on the ordinary mean adjustment.




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