SHELF
Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the form of fitted probabilities and percentiles. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated. Also includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population distributions, eliciting multivariate distributions using a Gaussian copula, eliciting a Dirichlet distribution, and eliciting distributions for variance parameters in a random effects meta-analysis model. R Shiny apps for most of the methods are included.
- Recent advances in the elicitation of uncertainty distributions from experts for multinomial probabilities
- Posterior belief assessment: extracting meaningful subjective judgements from Bayesian analyses with complex statistical models
- A Review of Bayesian Perspectives on Sample Size Derivation for Confirmatory Trials
- Methods for Eliciting Informative Prior Distributions: A Critical Review
- BetaBuster
- Customized structural elicitation
- Dealing with imperfect elicitation results
- Three-point lifetime distribution elicitation for maintenance optimization in a Bayesian context
- Graphical prior elicitation in univariate models
- distrEx
- Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific
- rpanel
- PEGS
- elicit-normlin
- MATCH Uncertainty Elicitation
- adoptr
- expertsurv
- disbayes
- bayessource
- Bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with R
- convdistr
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