Should We Condition on the Number of Points When Modelling Spatial Point Patterns?

DOI10.1111/INSR.12501MaRDI QIDQ6067599zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors

Publication date 14 December 2023

Published in International Statistical Review (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.10051, https://vbn.aau.dk/ws/files/519312508/Int_Statistical_Rev_2022_M_ller_Should_We_Condition_on_the_Number_of_Points_When_Modelling_Spatial_Point_Patterns.pdf

zbMATH Keywords

conditional inferenceglobal envelope testmaximum likelihoodmaximum pseudo-likelihoodspatial point process models

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from spatial processes (62M30)

Abstract: We discuss the practice of directly or indirectly assuming a model for the number of points when modelling spatial point patterns even though it is rarely possible to validate such a model in practice since most point pattern data consist of only one pattern. We therefore explore the possibility to condition on the number of points instead when fitting and validating spatial point process models. In a simulation study with different popular spatial point process models, we consider model validation using global envelope tests based on functional summary statistics. We find that conditioning on the number of points will for some functional summary statistics lead to more narrow envelopes and that it can also be useful for correcting for some conservativeness in the tests when testing composite hypothesis. However, for other functional summary statistics, it makes little or no difference to condition on the number of points. When estimating parameters in popular spatial point process models, we conclude that for mathematical and computational reasons it is convenient to assume a distribution for the number of points.

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