Solvability of implicit final size equations for SIR epidemic models

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2016.10.012MaRDI QIDQ343089zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Subekshya Bidari, Xinying Chen, Daniel M. Peters, Dylanger Pittman, Péter L. Simon

Publication date 21 November 2016

Published in Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL http://real.mtak.hu/46138/1/final_epidemic_size_second_revision.pdf

zbMATH Keywords

SIR epidemicmean-field modelexact master equationfinal epidemic size

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of continuous-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces (60J28) Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of graph theory (05C90)

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Cites work

• A final size relation for epidemic models
• A note on the derivation of epidemic final sizes
• A unified analysis of the final size and severity distribution in collective Reed-Frost epidemic processes
• A unified approach to the distribution of total size and total area under the trajectory of infectives in epidemic models
• An SIR epidemic model on a population with random network and household structure, and several types of individuals
• Asymptotic final size distribution of the multitype Reed–Frost process
• Computation of epidemic final size distributions
• Epidemics with two levels of mixing
• Exact analytical expressions for the final epidemic size of an sir model on small networks
• Final size distributions for epidemics
• Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease
• Heterogeneous network epidemics: real-time growth, variance and extinction of infection
• Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing
• SIR dynamics in random networks with heterogeneous connectivity
• Stochastic epidemic models and their statistical analysis
• Stochastic multitype SIR epidemics among a population partitioned into households
• The final size of an epidemic and its relation to the basic reproduction number
• The relationship between real-time and discrete-generation models of epidemic spread
• Threshold behaviour and final outcome of an epidemic on a random network with household structure

Cited in

(14)

• Investigating the role of within- and between-patch movement in a dynamic model of disease spread
• The explicit series solution of SIR and SIS epidemic models
• Exact solution of the Susceptible–Infectious–Recovered–Deceased (SIRD) epidemic model
• Generalised probability mass function for the final epidemic size of an \textit{SIR} model on a line of triangles network
• A geometric analysis of the SIRS epidemiological model on a homogeneous network
• Final epidemic size and critical times for susceptible-infectious-recovered models with a generalized contact rate
• Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model. Which approximant to use?
• Epidemic dynamics of influenza-like diseases spreading in complex networks
• A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
• Basic reproduction number for the SIR epidemic in degree correlated networks
• Mathematical analysis of epidemic models with treatment in heterogeneous networks
• Impact of contact heterogeneity on initial growth behavior of an epidemic: complex network-based approach
• Confinement tonicity on epidemic spreading
• Final epidemic size of a two-community SIR model with asymmetric coupling

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