Stochastic agent-based SEIRS model with Poisson jump mutations and AI-based optimal control

DOI10.1007/S12215-026-01511-WMaRDI QIDQ7402721zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Samira Zouhri, Mohcine El Baroudi, Hassan Laarabi, Abdelhadi Abta

Publication date 2027

Published in Rendiconti del Circolo Matemàtico di Palermo. Serie II (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/S12215-026-01511-W

zbMATH Keywords

agent-based modeloptimal controlPoisson jumpsreinforcement learningstochastic SEIRS model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Jump processes on general state spaces (60J76) Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

The paper formulates a stochastic spatial agent-based SEIRS epidemic model incorporating waning immunity, abortive exposure clearance, demographic turnover, and mutation-driven Poisson jumps. For the deterministic compartmental backbone, the paper rigorously establishes a global extinction-persistence threshold using the basic reproduction number. The work calibrates the agent-based model to align with this threshold, analyzes moment bounds, and proves almost-sure extinction for the finite system. An adaptive intervention strategy under partial observation is also designed via Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient, achieving lower finite-horizon costs than standard constant-control benchmarks.

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