Uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds
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Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.) (91G20) Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) PDEs in connection with game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences (35Q91) Software, source code, etc. for problems pertaining to game theory, economics, and finance (91-04) Financial applications of other theories (91G80)
Abstract: In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead of using two deterministic bounds, the uncertain volatility fluctuates between two stochastic bounds generated by its inherent stochastic volatility process. This brings better accuracy and is consistent with the observed volatility path such as for the VIX as a proxy for instance. We apply the regular perturbation analysis upon the worst case scenario price, and derive the first order approximation in the regime of slowly varying stochastic bounds. The original problem which involves solving a fully nonlinear PDE in dimension two for the worst case scenario price, is reduced to solving a nonlinear PDE in dimension one and a linear PDE with source, which gives a tremendous computational advantage. Numerical experiments show that this approximation procedure performs very well, even in the regime of moderately slow varying stochastic bounds.
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Cites work
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4004696 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 51724 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3505981 (Why is no real title available?)
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- Robust utility maximization with Lévy processes
- Singular Perturbations in Option Pricing
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Cited in
(13)- -hypergeometric uncertain volatility models and their connection to 2BSDEs
- A simple framework for the stochastic volatility uncertainty
- Approximation for option prices under uncertain volatility
- Ambiguous volatility, possibility and utility in continuous time
- Markov chain approximation and measure change for time-inhomogeneous stochastic processes
- Models with Uncertain Volatility
- Calibrating volatility function bounds for an uncertain volatility model
- Well-posedness and stability analysis of two classes of generalized stochastic volatility models
- Correlations and bounds for stochastic volatility models
- A general framework to simulate diffusions with discontinuous coefficients and local times
- Measures of model uncertainty and calibrated option bounds
- Optimal investment with correlated stochastic volatility factors
- Uncertain volatility and the risk-free synthesis of derivatives
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