Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach (Q964798): Difference between revisions
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English | Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach |
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Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach (English)
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21 April 2010
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In order to uncover connections between different information theoretic approaches and between dynamical and statistical approaches, a general theoretical framework to quantity information flow in ensemble forecasting of dynamical system using the concept of (\(\epsilon,\tau\))-entropy, scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent, and developed a pseudo-ensemble approach, is proposed. This pseudo-ensemble technique appears to be applicable under rather general conditions, one important situation being that observational data are available but the exact dynamical model is unknown.
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ensemble technique
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dynamical system
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Lyapunov vectors, forecast models
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entropy
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Shannon entropy
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Kolmogorov entropy
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scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent
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