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Property / author: Wen-wen Tung / rank
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Latest revision as of 17:40, 2 July 2024

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Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach
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    Quantifying dynamical predictability: the pseudo-ensemble approach (English)
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    21 April 2010
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    In order to uncover connections between different information theoretic approaches and between dynamical and statistical approaches, a general theoretical framework to quantity information flow in ensemble forecasting of dynamical system using the concept of (\(\epsilon,\tau\))-entropy, scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent, and developed a pseudo-ensemble approach, is proposed. This pseudo-ensemble technique appears to be applicable under rather general conditions, one important situation being that observational data are available but the exact dynamical model is unknown.
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    ensemble technique
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    dynamical system
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    Lyapunov vectors, forecast models
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    entropy
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    Shannon entropy
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    Kolmogorov entropy
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    scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent
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