Computation of epidemic final size distributions

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2014.11.029zbMath1412.92273arXiv1407.3887OpenAlexW2164971683WikidataQ41604696 ScholiaQ41604696MaRDI QIDQ2415773

Andrew J. Black, Joshua V. Ross

Publication date: 23 May 2019

Published in: Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.3887

zbMATH Keywords

Markov chainhitting probabilitieswaning immunitydegree-of-advancement

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of continuous-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces (60J28)

Related Items (15)

On SIR-models with Markov-modulated events: length of an outbreak, total size of the epidemic and number of secondary infections ⋮ Solvability of implicit final size equations for SIR epidemic models ⋮ The stochastic SEIR model before extinction: computational approaches ⋮ Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics ⋮ SIR epidemics with stochastic infectious periods ⋮ SIR epidemics driven by Feller processes ⋮ An exact and implementable computation of the final outbreak size distribution under Erlang distributed infectious period ⋮ Dynamics of multi-stage infections on networks ⋮ Estimating the basic reproductive number during the early stages of an emerging epidemic ⋮ Cumulative and maximum epidemic sizes for a nonlinear SEIR stochastic model with limited resources ⋮ A GENERAL EPIDEMIC MODEL SUITABLE FOR PLANNING ⋮ Bayesian model discrimination for partially-observed epidemic models ⋮ On mutations in the branching model for multitype populations ⋮ Generalised probability mass function for the final epidemic size of an \textit{SIR} model on a line of triangles network ⋮ Importance sampling for partially observed temporal epidemic models

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