A bare-bones mathematical model of radicalization

DOI10.3934/JDG.2018016MaRDI QIDQ1714496zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors C. Connell McCluskey, Manuele Santoprete

Publication date 1 February 2019

Published in Journal of Dynamics and Games (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.03227

zbMATH Keywords

extremismmathematical sociologypopulation modelstability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Topological structure of integral curves, singular points, limit cycles of ordinary differential equations (34C05) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20) Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Abstract: Radicalization is the process by which people come to adopt increasingly extreme political or religious ideologies. While radical thinking is by no means problematic in itself, it becomes a threat to national security when it leads to violence. We introduce a simple compartmental model (similar to epidemiology models) to describe the radicalization process. We then extend the model to allow for multiple ideologies. Our approach is similar to the one used in the study of multi-strain diseases. Based on our models, we assess several strategies to counter violent extremism.

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Cites work

• Activist model of political party growth
• An introduction to mathematical epidemiology
• Bioterrorism: Mathematical Modeling Applications in Homeland Security
• Lyapunov functions for tuberculosis models with fast and slow progression
• Nonnegative and compartmental dynamical systems
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Cited in

(16)

• A mathematical model of the pressure of an extreme ideology on a society
• To apprehend or not to apprehend: a mathematical model for ending student strikes in a university
• Optimal control of an HIV model with a trilinear antibody growth function
• Dynamics of conflicting opinions considering rationality
• Global stability in a mathematical model of de-radicalization
• Propagation of radical ideas in societies with memory: competition between radical strength and social cohesion
• Countering violent extremism: a mathematical model
• Modeling the role of government efforts in controlling extremism in a society
• A bistable belief dynamics model for radicalization within sectarian conflict
• Stability analysis of a deterministic model of Zika/Dengue co-circulation
• Age-structured social interactions enhance radicalization
• The mechanics of contentious politics: an agent-based modeling approach
• Criminals and their models -- a review of epidemiological models describing criminal behaviour
• Trust in society: a stochastic compartmental model
• Estimating the prevalence of terrorism under control policies. A statistical modelling approach
• Modeling three compartmental voter dynamics for a multiparty state electoral system

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