A bare-bones mathematical model of radicalization

DOI10.3934/JDG.2018016MaRDI QIDQ1714496zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors C. Connell McCluskey, Manuele Santoprete

Publication date 1 February 2019

Published in Journal of Dynamics and Games (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.03227

zbMATH Keywords

stabilitypopulation modelextremismmathematical sociology

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Topological structure of integral curves, singular points, limit cycles of ordinary differential equations (34C05) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20)

Abstract: Radicalization is the process by which people come to adopt increasingly extreme political or religious ideologies. While radical thinking is by no means problematic in itself, it becomes a threat to national security when it leads to violence. We introduce a simple compartmental model (similar to epidemiology models) to describe the radicalization process. We then extend the model to allow for multiple ideologies. Our approach is similar to the one used in the study of multi-strain diseases. Based on our models, we assess several strategies to counter violent extremism.

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Cites work

• Activist model of political party growth
• An introduction to mathematical epidemiology
• Bioterrorism: Mathematical Modeling Applications in Homeland Security
• Lyapunov functions for tuberculosis models with fast and slow progression
• Nonnegative and compartmental dynamical systems
• Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
• The development and interaction of terrorist and fanatic groups

Cited in

(13)

• Age-structured social interactions enhance radicalization
• Optimal control of an HIV model with a trilinear antibody growth function
• To apprehend or not to apprehend: a mathematical model for ending student strikes in a university
• The mechanics of contentious politics: an agent-based modeling approach
• A bistable belief dynamics model for radicalization within sectarian conflict
• Global stability in a mathematical model of de-radicalization
• Countering violent extremism: a mathematical model
• Propagation of radical ideas in societies with memory: competition between radical strength and social cohesion
• A mathematical model of the pressure of an extreme ideology on a society
• Dynamics of conflicting opinions considering rationality
• Stability analysis of a deterministic model of Zika/Dengue co-circulation
• Criminals and their models -- a review of epidemiological models describing criminal behaviour
• Modeling the role of government efforts in controlling extremism in a society

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