A linear Bayesian stochastic approximation to update project duration estimates

DOI10.1016/J.EJOR.2008.04.019MaRDI QIDQ1027546zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Sungbin Cho

Publication date 30 June 2009

Published in European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2008.04.019

zbMATH Keywords

stochastic approximationBayesian belief networklinear Bayesian methodproject duration estimation

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic programming (90C15)

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3297735 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Bayesian Approach to the Linear Combination of Forecasts
• A Multivariate Exponential Distribution
• Approximating the Criticality Indices of the Activities in PERT Networks
• Estimating the mean completion time of PERT networks with exponentially distributed durations of activities
• Influence diagrams for Bayesian decision analysis
• Learning Bayesian networks: The combination of knowledge and statistical data
• Multivariate distributions for the life lengths of components of a system sharing a common environment
• Probabilistic Inference and Influence Diagrams
• Review of guidelines for the use of combined forecasts
• Three-Point Approximations for Continuous Random Variables

Cited in

(10)

• New method of randomized forecasting using entropy-robust estimation: application to the world population prediction
• A hybrid forecasting model to predict the duration and cost performance of projects with Bayesian networks
• Project duration prediction using a Monte Carlo simulation of the periodic output of the project resources
• A nearest neighbour extension to project duration forecasting with artificial intelligence
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3856794 (Why is no real title available?)
• Entropy-robust randomized forecasting under small sets of retrospective data
• Multi-factor dependence modelling with specified marginals and structured association in large-scale project risk assessment
• A dependent project evaluation and review technique: a Bayesian network approach
• Schedule default distributions and Bayesian estimation in airport construction master schedule management
• Constructively simple estimating: a project management example

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