Adaptive density estimation for general ARCH models

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Abstract: We consider a model Yt=sigmatetat in which (sigmat) is not independent of the noise process (etat), but sigmat is independent of etat for each t. We assume that (sigmat) is stationary and we propose an adaptive estimator of the density of ln(sigmat2) based on the observations Yt. Under various dependence structures, the rates of this nonparametric estimator coincide with the minimax rates obtained in the i.i.d. case when (sigmat) and (etat) are independent, in all cases where these minimax rates are known. The results apply to various linear and non linear ARCH processes.




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