Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions

DOI10.1080/00031305.2024.2339266MaRDI QIDQ6955020zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Adeline P. Guthrie, Christopher T. Franck

Publication date 23 July 2025

Published in The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2024.2339266

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites work

• A Reference Bayesian Test for Nested Hypotheses and its Relationship to the Schwarz Criterion
• Bayes Factors
• Combining Probability Forecasts
• Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts
• Flexible recalibration of binary clinical prediction models
• Forecast aggregation via recalibration
• Regularized Aggregation of One-Off Probability Predictions
• Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers
• The Probability Weighting Function
• The Well-Calibrated Bayesian
• Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme

Cited in

(1)

• BRcal: an R package to boldness-recalibrate probability predictions

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