Collision probability for Earth-crossing asteroids using orbital ranging

DOI10.1023/A:1013315305447MaRDI QIDQ5960105zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors K. Muinonen, Jenni Virtanen, E. Bowell

Publication date 11 April 2002

Published in Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013315305447

zbMATH Keywords

collision probabilityEarth-crossing asteriod 1998 \(\text{OX}_4\)fast statistical ranging methodinvaiancelinear approximationorbital element probability densitySpearman rank correlation measurestatistical orbital rangingstatistical ranging method

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Celestial mechanics (70F15)

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Cited in

(16)

• Keplerian integrals, elimination theory and identification of very short arcs in a large database of optical observations
• Use of the semilinear method to predict the impact corridor on ground
• Transition methods for stochastic simulation of parametric uncertainty in inverse problems of orbital dynamics
• Impact probability computation of near-Earth objects using Monte Carlo line sampling and subset simulation
• Retrospective analysis of the orbits of asteroids colliding with Earth
• A rapid algorithm of space debris collision probability based on space compression and infinite series
• Modeling close encounters with massive asteroids: a Markovian approach
• Nonlinear methods of statistic simulation of virtual parameter values for investigating uncertainties in orbits determined from observations
• Analytic characterization of measurement uncertainty and initial orbit determination on orbital element representations
• Application of the mathematical models used for estimating the impact probability of asteroids 99942 Apophis and 2011 AG5
• Possibility of collision between co-orbital asteroids and the earth
• Rare Event Estimation for Computer Models
• Intrinsic nonlinearity and method of disturbed observations in inverse problems of celestial mechanics
• Orbit propagation in Minkowskian geometry
• The manifold of variations: hazard assessment of short-term impactors
• Impact probability under aleatory and epistemic uncertainties

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