Integrated model for constructing a multialternative prediction graph based on expert judgments

DOI10.1007/BF02366318MaRDI QIDQ1922345zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors T. Ya. Skobets

Publication date 27 October 1996

Published in Cybernetics and Systems Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02366318

zbMATH Keywords

expert questioningprediction graph

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Management decision making, including multiple objectives (90B50) Social and behavioral sciences: general topics (91C99) Large-scale systems (93A15)

Review text

A formalization of the Delphi method is proposed. Results of multiround expert questioning are presented in the form of a tree-like graph. The presentation is rather dark but the author shows that the proposed scheme was practically used and a corresponding software was elaborated.

Recommendations

• Formalizing the consistency of experts' judgments in the Delphi method
• Development of the prediction graph method under incomplete and inaccurate expert estimates
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3968249
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3921627
• Discrete analysis of expert information. Research trends

Cited in

(4)

• Development of the prediction graph method under incomplete and inaccurate expert estimates
• Enhanced fuzzy Delphi method in forecasting and decision-making
• Formalizing the consistency of experts' judgments in the Delphi method
• Models of computation of a multialternative prediction graph on the basis of analytical estimates

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