Locally adaptive Bayes nonparametric regression via nested Gaussian processes
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reproducing kernel Hilbert spacestochastic differential equationsnested smoothing splinespenalized sum-of-squares
Bayesian inference (62F15) Nonparametric regression and quantile regression (62G08) Numerical analysis or methods applied to Markov chains (65C40) Applications of functional analysis in probability theory and statistics (46N30) Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H10)
Abstract: We propose a nested Gaussian process (nGP) as a locally adaptive prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. Specified through a set of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the nGP imposes a Gaussian process prior for the function's th-order derivative. The nesting comes in through including a local instantaneous mean function, which is drawn from another Gaussian process inducing adaptivity to locally-varying smoothness. We discuss the support of the nGP prior in terms of the closure of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, and consider theoretical properties of the posterior. The posterior mean under the nGP prior is shown to be equivalent to the minimizer of a nested penalized sum-of-squares involving penalties for both the global and local roughness of the function. Using highly-efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo for posterior inference, the proposed method performs well in simulation studies compared to several alternatives, and is scalable to massive data, illustrated through a proteomics application.
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Cited in
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- Locally adaptive smoothing with Markov random fields and shrinkage priors
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- Sharp bounds on distribution functions and expectations of mixtures of ordered families of distributions
- Predictions based on the clustering of heterogeneous functions via shape and subject-specific covariates
- PiPs: a kernel-based optimization scheme for analyzing non-stationary 1D signals
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