Multivariate risk measures: a constructive approach based on selections

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Abstract: Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are set-valued. Furthermore, it is reasonable to include the exchange rules in the argument of the risk measure and so consider risk measures of set-valued portfolios. This situation includes the classical Kabanov's transaction costs model, where the set-valued portfolio is given by the sum of a random vector and an exchange cone, but also a number of further cases of additional liquidity constraints. We suggest a definition of the risk measure based on calling a set-valued portfolio acceptable if it possesses a selection with all individually acceptable marginals. The obtained selection risk measure is coherent (or convex), law invariant and has values being upper convex closed sets. We describe the dual representation of the selection risk measure and suggest efficient ways of approximating it from below and from above. In case of Kabanov's exchange cone model, it is shown how the selection risk measure relates to the set-valued risk measures considered by Kulikov (2008), Hamel and Heyde (2010), and Hamel, Heyde and Rudloff (2013).


The authors explore a framework in which set-valued risk measures on set-valued portfolios allow for the description and analysis of the risk of portfolios for which profits/losses of the portfolio constituents -- e.g.\ business lines of a company, or subportfolios corresponding to currencies or geographic locations -- may not offset each other e.g.\ due to transaction costs, taxes or other fees, or because of regulatory reasons or other restrictions.NEWLINENEWLINEA \textit{set-valued portfolio} is an almost surely nonempty random closed convex subset of \(\mathbb{R}^d\). A \textit{selection} of a set-valued portfolio \(X\) is a random vector \(\xi\) which satisfies \(\xi \in X\) almost surely. A function \(\rho\) mapping set-valued portfolios to upper convex sets is a \textit{set-valued coherent risk measure} if {\parindent=0.7cmNEWLINE\begin{itemize}\item[--] \(\rho(X+a) = \rho(X) - a\)\quad (\(a \in \mathbb{R}\));NEWLINE\item[--] if \(X \subseteq Y\) almost surely then \(\rho(X) \subseteq \rho(Y)\);NEWLINE\item[--] \(\rho(c \cdot X) = c\cdot \rho(X)\)\quad \((c >0)\);NEWLINE\item[--] \(\rho(X+Y) \supseteq \rho(X) + \rho(Y)\). NEWLINENEWLINE\end{itemize}}NEWLINEA set-valued portfolio \(X\) is called \textit{acceptable} if \(0 \in \rho(X)\). For a random vector \(Z = (\zeta_{i})_{i=1, \dots, d} \in \mathbb{R}^d\), \(Z \cdot X\) is the set-valued portfolio obtained from \(X\) by scaling its \(i\)th coordinate by \(\zeta_{i}\) (\(i=1, \dots, d\)).NEWLINENEWLINELet \(\{r_{i} : i=1, \dots, d\}\) be (real-valued) coherent risk measures. For a random vector \(\xi = (\xi_{1},\dots,\xi_{d}) \in \mathbb{R}^d\), set \(r(\xi) = (r_{1}(\xi_{1}),\dots,r_{d}(\xi_{d}))\). Then \(\xi\) is \textit{acceptable} if \(r(\xi) \leq 0\); and a set-valued portfolio \(X\) is \textit{selection acceptable} if it has an acceptable selection. The authors study in detail \textit{selection risk measures}, defined as NEWLINE\[NEWLINE\rho(X) = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^d : X+x \text{ is selection acceptable}\}.NEWLINE\]NEWLINE The approximation and computation of selection risk measures is also discussed in the special case when \(X\) follows a bivariate normal distribution.NEWLINENEWLINEFor every nonempty set \(\mathcal{Z}\) of nonnegative \(q\)-integrable random vectors \(Z \in \mathbb{R}^d\), a set-valued coherent risk measures can be defined as NEWLINE\[NEWLINE\rho_{\mathcal{Z}}(X) = \bigcap_{Z\in \mathcal{Z}} \frac{\mathbb{E}[\hat X Z]}{\mathbb{E}[Z]},NEWLINE\]NEWLINE where \(\mathbb{E}[\hat X Z]\) is the closure of the set \(\{\mathbb{E}[\xi] : \xi \text{ is an integrable selection of } Z \cdot X\}\). The authors also obtain that every set-valued coherent risk measure satisfying some continuity property can be obtained in this form.



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