Non-parametric statistical diagnosis. Problems and methods

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The present book continues the authors' work, Nonparametric methods in change-point problems. (1993). The book presents new ideas and theoretical and practical results after the period of 1993. It gives a systematic account of different problems of statistical diagnostics, which is by definition the detection of changes in probabilistic characteristics of random processes and fields. In this context, a unified nonparametric approach is proposed. Two main fields are covered: (a) The detection of changes caused by different stationary pieces of processes, and (b) the detection of contaminations in data which may be considered as outliers. Special attention is devoted to sequential problems of statistical diagnosis. The headlines are as follows: Part 1. Theory. Chapter 1, Preliminary considerations; Chapter 2, State of the art review; Chapter 3, Retrospective methods of statistical diagnosis for random sequences: change-point problems; Chapter 4, Retrospective methods of statistical diagnosis for random processes: 'Contamination' problems; Chapter 5, Sequential methods of statistical diagnosis; Chapter 6, Statistical diagnosis problems for random fields. Part 2. Applications. Chapter 7, Application of the change-point analysis to investigation of the brain electrical activity; Chapter 8, Methods of statistical diagnosis in economic and financial systems; Appendix, Algorithms of statistical diagnosis. Chapter 1 is an introduction to the theory of random processes and random fields including different mixing conditions. Chapter 2 briefly reviews the work on statistical diagnosis till 1998. Chapter 3 is devoted to various change-point models and statistical inference about the change-point. Different-change point estimators are compared and a Rao-Cramér type inequality is established. In Chapter 4 solutions for the contamination problem are proposed and analysed. Chapter 5 deals with sequential change point problems. The reader will find here a nonparametric analogue of the familiar cumulative sums method (CUSUM). Also, questions on robustness are discussed. Chapter 6 studies the diagnosis problems for random fields. Chapter 7 is due to Kaplan and Shishkin, who applied change point analysis to the investigation of the brain's electrical activity. A lot of material of this applied research branch is summarized. Chapter 8 deals with structural breaks for econometric models. It is written mostly on an informal level. At the end of each chapter the reader will find a section with conclusions where the main results are summarized and discussed. More than 300 references to the literature are given. The book is of interest in research and for advanced post-graduate students. The methods can be applied to econometrics and biomedical engineering.




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