Optimal containment of epidemics over temporal activity-driven networks

DOI10.1137/18M1172740MaRDI QIDQ5231203zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Masaki Ogura, Victor M. Preciado, Naoki Masuda

Publication date 26 August 2019

Published in SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.08961

zbMATH Keywords

adaptive networksconvex optimizationepidemicsstochastic processestemporal networks

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic difference equations (39A50) Markov chains (discrete-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces) (60J10) Convex programming (90C25) Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Social networks; opinion dynamics (91D30)

Abstract: In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in temporal and adaptive networks. Building on the activity-driven network model, we propose an adaptive model of epidemic processes, where the network topology dynamically changes due to both exogenous factors independent of the epidemic dynamics as well as endogenous preventive measures adopted by individuals in response to the state of the infection. A direct analysis of the model using Markov processes involves the spectral analysis of a transition probability matrix whose size grows exponentially with the number of nodes. To overcome this limitation, we derive an upper-bound on the decay rate of the number of infected nodes in terms of the eigenvalues of a $2imes2$ matrix. Using this upper bound, we propose an efficient algorithm to tune the parameters describing the endogenous preventive measures in order to contain epidemics over time. We confirm our theoretical results via numerical simulations.

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Cited in

(12)

• Temporal percolation of a susceptible adaptive network
• Second-order moment-closure for tighter epidemic thresholds
• Stability analysis and control strategies for a new SIS epidemic model in heterogeneous networks
• Analysis and control of epidemics in temporal networks with self-excitement and behavioral changes
• Social interactions and the prophylaxis of SI epidemics on networks
• Mitigation of epidemics in contact networks through optimal contact adaptation
• Modeling memory effects in activity-driven networks
• An analytical framework for the study of epidemic models on activity driven networks
• Impacts of Game-Theoretic Activation on Epidemic Spread over Dynamical Networks
• Centrality-Based Traffic Restriction in Delayed Epidemic Networks
• Impact of temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic process
• Optimal control of stochastic fractional rumor propagation model in activity-driven networks

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