Polynomial diffusions and applications in finance

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Abstract: This paper provides the mathematical foundation for polynomial diffusions. They play an important role in a growing range of applications in finance, including financial market models for interest rates, credit risk, stochastic volatility, commodities and electricity. Uniqueness of polynomial diffusions is established via moment determinacy in combination with pathwise uniqueness. Existence boils down to a stochastic invariance problem that we solve for semialgebraic state spaces. Examples include the unit ball, the product of the unit cube and nonnegative orthant, and the unit simplex.


The article analyzes diffusions with polynomial drift and diffusion matrix of degrees at most 1 and 2 resp., evolving in semi-algebraic sets defined by polynomial inequalities. The main result is well-posedness of the solution and conditions for a non-sticky boundary. Specific instances of the state space given by certain quadric sets, product of the unit cube and non-negative orthant, or the unit simplex, are further analyzed. Applications to finance are also described.



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