Hindrances to bistable front propagation: application to \textit{Wolbachia} invasion

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Publication:1742480



Abstract: We study the biological situation when an invading population propagates and replaces an existing population with different characteristics. For instance, this may occur in the presence of a vertically transmitted infection causing a cytoplasmic effect similar to the Allee effect (e.g. Wolbachia in Aedes mosquitoes): the invading dynamics we model is bistable. After quantification of the propagules, a second question of major interest is the invasive power. How far can such an invading front go, and what can stop it? We rigorously show that a heterogeneous environment inducing a strong enough population gradient can stop an invading front, which will converge in this case to a stable front. We characterize the critical population jump, and also prove the existence of unstable fronts above the stable (blocking) fronts. Being above the maximal unstable front enables an invading front to clear the obstacle and propagate further. We are particularly interested in the case of artificial Wolbachia infection, used as a tool to fight arboviruses.


The authors study the biological situation when an invading population propagates and replaces an existing population with different characteristics. They aim at quantifying the propagules and the invasive power. They rigorously show that a heterogeneous environment inducing a strong enough population gradient can stop an invading front, which will converge in this case to a stable front. They characterize the critical population jump, and also prove the existence of unstable fronts above the stable (blocking) fronts. They are particularly interested in the case of artificial Wolbachia infection, used as a tool to fight arboviruses. The main results are the characterization of the asymptotic behavior of p in two settings: when \(N\) (total population density) only depends on \(x\) and when \(\partial x \log N\) is equal to a constant time the characteristic function of an interval. Overall, two possible sets of asymptotic behaviors appear. Also they demand a numerical conjecture that for generic bistable function, there exists exactly two barriers.



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