Dynamical functional prediction and classification, with application to traffic flow prediction

DOI10.1214/12-AOAS595zbMATH Open1257.62090arXiv1301.2399MaRDI QIDQ1940004FDOQ1940004

Authors: Jeng-Min Chiou 

Publication date: 5 March 2013

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Motivated by the need for accurate traffic flow prediction in transportation management, we propose a functional data method to analyze traffic flow patterns and predict future traffic flow. In this study we approach the problem by sampling traffic flow trajectories from a mixture of stochastic processes. The proposed functional mixture prediction approach combines functional prediction with probabilistic functional classification to take distinct traffic flow patterns into account. The probabilistic classification procedure, which incorporates functional clustering and discrimination, hinges on subspace projection. The proposed methods not only assist in predicting traffic flow trajectories, but also identify distinct patterns in daily traffic flow of typical temporal trends and variabilities. The proposed methodology is widely applicable in analysis and prediction of longitudinally recorded functional data.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1301.2399

Recommendations

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1057927
• Modeling self-consistent multi-class dynamic traffic flow
• Multi-Purpose, Multi-Step Deep Learning Framework for Network-Level Traffic Flow Prediction
• An interpretable model for short term traffic flow prediction

zbMATH Keywords

clusteringfunctional regressionmixture modeldiscriminationintelligent transportation systemsubspace projectiontraffic flow rate

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects) (62H30) Inference from stochastic processes (62M99) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Transportation, logistics and supply chain management (90B06) Traffic problems in operations research (90B20)

Cites Work

• Penalized Clustering of Large-Scale Functional Data With Multiple Covariates
• Multilevel functional principal component analysis
• Functional data analysis.
• Nonparametric functional data analysis. Theory and practice.
• Functional Data Analysis for Sparse Longitudinal Data
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach
• Applied functional data analysis. Methods and case studies
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Functional Quasi-Likelihood Regression Models with Smooth Random Effects
• Functional linear regression analysis for longitudinal data
• Robust estimation and classification for functional data via projection-based depth notions
• Clustering for Sparsely Sampled Functional Data
• Dynamical functional prediction and classification, with application to traffic flow prediction
• Unsupervised Curve Clustering using B‐Splines
• Degradation modeling applied to residual lifetime prediction using functional data analysis
• Functional Modelling and Classification of Longitudinal Data*
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Diagnostics for functional regression via residual processes
• CATS
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Identifying cluster number for subspace projected functional data clustering
• Analyzing time-course microarray data using functional data analysis -- a review
• Time-Varying Functional Regression for Predicting Remaining Lifetime Distributions from Longitudinal Trajectories
• Functional varying coefficient models for longitudinal data
• Properties of Diagnostic Data Distributions
• The mortality of the Italian population: smoothing techniques on the Lee-Carter model
• Recurrence quantification analysis as a tool for investigation of short-term traffic flow: application to Urban freeways
• Correlation-based functional clustering via subspace projection
• Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Fuzzy Logic System Methods

Cited In (28)

• Bayesian analysis of traffic flow on interstate I-55: the LWR model
• Estimation and testing for partially functional linear errors-in-variables models
• Nonparametric operator-regularized covariance function estimation for functional data
• Switching nonparametric regression models
• Shape-preserving prediction for stationary functional time series
• Estimation on functional partially linear single index measurement error model
• A partition Dirichlet process model for functional data analysis
• Improving Estimation in Functional Linear Regression With Points of Impact: Insights Into Google AdWords
• Dynamical functional prediction and classification, with application to traffic flow prediction
• Multi-dimensional functional principal component analysis
• Modeling curves and derivatives as predictors for traffic breakdown probabilities
• Multipopulation mortality modelling and forecasting: the weighted multivariate functional principal component approaches
• Dynamic child growth prediction: A comparative methods approach
• A new approach for time domain analysis of multivariate and functional time series
• Functional data classification using covariate-adjusted subspace projection
• Cross‐component registration for multivariate functional data, with application to growth curves
• Section on the special year for Mathematics of Planet Earth (MPE 2013)
• Clustering and forecasting multiple functional time series
• Multivariate functional linear regression and prediction
• Intraday forecasts of a volatility index: functional time series methods with dynamic updating
• Mortality and life expectancy forecasting for a group of populations in developed countries: a robust multilevel functional data method
• Functional sufficient dimension reduction through information maximization with application to classification
• Network Functional Varying Coefficient Model
• A general bi-clustering algorithm for object data with an application to the analysis of a Lombardy railway line
• Feature extraction for functional time series: theory and application to NIR spectroscopy data
• Bridge closure in the road network of Lombardy: a spatio-temporal analysis of the socio-economic impacts
• Functional time series forecasting: functional singular spectrum analysis approaches
• Functional Time Series Prediction Under Partial Observation of the Future Curve

Uses Software

• fda (R)

This page was built for publication: Dynamical functional prediction and classification, with application to traffic flow prediction

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q1940004)