Degradation modeling applied to residual lifetime prediction using functional data analysis

DOI10.1214/10-AOAS448zbMATH Open1223.62156arXiv1107.5712MaRDI QIDQ641105FDOQ641105

Nagi Gebraeel, Rensheng R. Zhou, Nicoleta Serban

Publication date: 21 October 2011

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Sensor-based degradation signals measure the accumulation of damage of an engineering system using sensor technology. Degradation signals can be used to estimate, for example, the distribution of the remaining life of partially degraded systems and/or their components. In this paper we present a nonparametric degradation modeling framework for making inference on the evolution of degradation signals that are observed sparsely or over short intervals of times. Furthermore, an empirical Bayes approach is used to update the stochastic parameters of the degradation model in real-time using training degradation signals for online monitoring of components operating in the field. The primary application of this Bayesian framework is updating the residual lifetime up to a degradation threshold of partially degraded components. We validate our degradation modeling approach using a real-world crack growth data set as well as a case study of simulated degradation signals.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1107.5712

zbMATH Keywords

nonparametric estimationfunctional principal component analysiscondition monitoringresidual life distributionsparse degradation signal

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Reliability and life testing (62N05) Empirical decision procedures; empirical Bayes procedures (62C12)

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Cited In (12)

• The latent state hazard model, with application to wind turbine reliability
• Degradation modeling applied to residual lifetime prediction using functional data analysis
• Remaining useful life prediction: A multiple product partition approach
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Degradation Modeling, Analysis, and Applications on Lifetime Prediction
• Dynamical functional prediction and classification, with application to traffic flow prediction
• Nonparametric Modeling and Prognosis of Condition Monitoring Signals Using Multivariate Gaussian Convolution Processes
• A Wiener process model with truncated normal distribution for reliability analysis
• Optimal classification policy and comparisons for highly reliable products
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Degradation-based residual life prediction under different environments
• Reliability study of battery lives: a functional degradation analysis approach

Uses Software

• fda (R)
• bootstrap
• bootlib

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